Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.163904 0.187875 0.215177 0.248795 0.289380 0.337182 0.398318
2025-04-27 0.129165 0.160701 0.200680 0.256067 0.332423 0.436485 0.593615
2025-05-04 0.107826 0.142325 0.189655 0.261461 0.371658 0.541757 0.840563
2025-05-11 0.094011 0.129956 0.182463 0.268298 0.412680 0.661855 1.167370
2025-05-18 0.083121 0.119209 0.174664 0.271121 0.446670 0.781466 1.560004
2025-05-25 0.074499 0.110167 0.167372 0.272346 0.477251 0.905760 2.043832
2025-06-01 0.067150 0.101882 0.159636 0.270633 0.501163 1.025772 2.609910
2025-06-08 0.060719 0.094142 0.151454 0.266102 0.517660 1.136077 3.248529
2025-06-15 0.057038 0.090499 0.149805 0.273753 0.562948 1.340204 4.425854
2025-06-22 0.052227 0.084281 0.142500 0.268241 0.575771 1.462695 5.454539
2025-06-29 0.049042 0.080583 0.139394 0.271038 0.610282 1.670734 7.223441
2025-07-06 0.045623 0.076077 0.134096 0.267891 0.628288 1.836835 9.113938
2025-07-13 0.043264 0.073367 0.132154 0.272499 0.670929 2.126806 12.641187
2025-07-20 0.041319 0.071251 0.131173 0.279350 0.723569 2.503454 18.369746
2025-07-27 0.039451 0.069087 0.129799 0.284985 0.775210 2.928046 27.029327
2025-08-03 0.037894 0.067379 0.129178 0.292500 0.836924 3.473132 42.003029
2025-08-10 0.036160 0.065139 0.127084 0.295617 0.884890 4.006809 63.870324
2025-08-17 0.034467 0.062824 0.124535 0.296974 0.927473 4.571757 98.120475
2025-08-24 0.032722 0.060248 0.121081 0.295060 0.956817 5.098014 148.024044
2025-08-31 0.030946 0.057464 0.116832 0.290003 0.971488 5.547262 216.893560
2025-09-07 0.030069 0.056541 0.116966 0.298541 1.051351 6.703531 451.669111
2025-09-14 0.028488 0.053953 0.112726 0.292388 1.060371 7.230343 715.740748
2025-09-21 0.027489 0.052578 0.111383 0.295510 1.117505 8.411100 1622.746551